Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.96%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Barnet |
35.62% ( 1.37) | 22.62% ( 0.27) | 41.76% ( -1.64) |
Both teams to score 66.57% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.86% ( -1.03) | 34.14% ( 1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.97% ( -1.17) | 56.03% ( 1.18) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.25% ( 0.21) | 19.76% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.21% ( 0.33) | 51.8% ( -0.32) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.96% ( -1.05) | 17.04% ( 1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.8% ( -1.9) | 47.2% ( 1.91) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.19) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.13) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.36% Total : 41.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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