Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Fylde |
26.03% ( 1.56) | 24.85% ( 0.42) | 49.12% ( -1.98) |
Both teams to score 53.27% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.73% ( -0.46) | 49.27% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.67% ( -0.42) | 71.32% ( 0.42) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.66% ( 1.06) | 33.34% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.04% ( 1.15) | 69.96% ( -1.15) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.91% ( -0.99) | 20.08% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.68% ( -1.61) | 52.32% ( 1.6) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Fylde |
1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.03% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.79% Total : 49.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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