Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for York City in this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Torquay United |
44.81% ( 0) | 25.34% ( 0) | 29.85% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.47% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.01% ( -0.02) | 48.99% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.93% ( -0.02) | 71.07% ( 0.01) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.15% ( -0.01) | 21.85% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.92% ( -0.01) | 55.08% ( 0) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.7% ( -0.02) | 30.3% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.53% ( -0.02) | 66.47% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Torquay United |
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 29.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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