Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Halifax Town | Draw | York City |
33.23% ( -6.96) | 27.44% ( -0.43) | 39.34% ( 7.4) |
Both teams to score 49.21% ( 1.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.64% ( 1.87) | 56.36% ( -1.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.62% ( 1.49) | 77.38% ( -1.49) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.29% ( -3.36) | 31.71% ( 3.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.87% ( -4.04) | 68.14% ( 4.05) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.06% ( 5.63) | 27.94% ( -5.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.43% ( 6.64) | 63.57% ( -6.64) |
Score Analysis |
Halifax Town | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 10.17% ( -1.82) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.8) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -1.72) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.62) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.94) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.22% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.66) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.9) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 1.12) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( 1.53) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.92) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 1) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.38) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.41) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.41) Other @ 1.87% Total : 39.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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