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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Czech Republic national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sinobo stadium
Ukraine national football team

Czech Republic
3 - 2
Ukraine

Sulc (21', 45+2'), Soucek (80' pen.)
Krejci (47'), Vitik (48'), Cerny (54'), Soucek (64'), Zeleny (68')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vanat (37'), Sudakov (84')
Sudakov (70'), Yaremchuk (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Czech Republic and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Czech Republic

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Georgia 4-1 Czech Republic
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League

Ukraine

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-2 Albania
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Czech Republic 1-2 Ukraine

 Goals at both ends of the pitch have been a guarantee whenever the Czechs have entered the field in 2024, but the manner of their defensive capitulation in Georgia was alarming. Even without two pivotal offensive players in Dovbyk and Mudryk, Ukraine have the attacking nous to expose their hosts' shortcomings at the back and have our vote to make it second time lucky, even if a clean sheet also eludes them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.

Result
Czech RepublicDrawUkraine
54.18% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63) 23.76% (0.198 0.2) 22.06% (0.435 0.43)
Both teams to score 52.32% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.58% (-0.337 -0.34)48.42% (0.337 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (-0.309 -0.31)70.55% (0.30799999999999 0.31)
Czech Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (-0.357 -0.36)17.77% (0.357 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.52% (-0.619 -0.62)48.47% (0.619 0.62)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.62% (0.23 0.23)36.37% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.84% (0.233 0.23)73.16% (-0.23299999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Czech Republic 54.17%
    Ukraine 22.06%
    Draw 23.76%
Czech RepublicDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 11.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.65% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 54.17%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.131 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 22.06%

How you voted: Czech Republic vs Ukraine

Czech Republic
41.5%
Draw
19.5%
Ukraine
39.0%
159
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2021 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Czech Republic
1-1
Ukraine
Vydra (90+4')
Sadilek (46'), Kral (73')
Korniienko (27')
Zinchenko (2')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Ukraine
1-0
Czech Republic
Malinovskiy (43')
Rakitskiy (39')

Celustka (19'), Pavelka (90')
Sep 6, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Czech Republic
1-2
Ukraine
Schick (4')
Husbauer (21'), Soucek (53')
Konoplyanka (45'), Zinchenko (90')
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