Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wales 0-0 Poland (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Poland 1-1 Ukraine
Although Ukraine may have benefitted from their outing on Monday, Poland will feel fresher and better prepared. All things considered, these two well-matched teams may cancel each other out in a low-scoring draw in Warsaw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
Result | ||
Poland | Draw | Ukraine |
60.19% ( -0) | 22.72% ( -0) | 17.08% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.46% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.23% ( 0.02) | 50.77% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.34% ( 0.02) | 72.66% ( -0.02) |
Poland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.52% ( 0) | 16.47% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.81% ( 0.01) | 46.19% ( -0.01) |
Ukraine Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.82% ( 0.02) | 43.18% ( -0.02) |