MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 17:04:20| >> :60:1302:1302:
Denmark national football team
Nations League | League A
Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parken
Spain national football team

Denmark
vs.
Spain

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Denmark and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how European champions Spain could line up in their UEFA Nations League fixture with Denmark.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Switzerland 2-2 Denmark
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Spain 3-0 Serbia
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We say: Denmark 1-2 Spain

This a tough match to call, especially with Spain missing some important players, and it would not be a shock to see Denmark pick up a positive result on Friday night. Spain have such quality in the forward areas, though, and we are backing De la Fuente's side to navigate their way to all three points in their penultimate match in the group stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Denmark has a probability of 27.83% and a draw has a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Denmark win is 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.69%).

Result
DenmarkDrawSpain
27.83% (1.551 1.55) 26.87% (0.498 0.5) 45.3% (-2.046 -2.05)
Both teams to score 48.57% (-0.321 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.92% (-0.963 -0.96)56.08% (0.966 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (-0.788 -0.79)77.15% (0.791 0.79)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48% (0.754 0.75)35.52% (-0.751 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (0.772 0.77)72.29% (-0.76900000000001 -0.77)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-1.394 -1.39)24.68% (1.396 1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (-1.992 -1.99)59.21% (1.994 1.99)
Score Analysis
    Denmark 27.83%
    Spain 45.29%
    Draw 26.86%
DenmarkDrawSpain
1-0 @ 9.07% (0.509 0.51)
2-1 @ 6.57% (0.241 0.24)
2-0 @ 4.7% (0.353 0.35)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.128 0.13)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.152 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 27.83%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.321 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 12.26% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-2 @ 8.58% (-0.388 -0.39)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.355 -0.36)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.29%

Who will win Friday's Nations League clash between Denmark and Spain?

Denmark
Draw
Spain
Denmark
16.1%
Draw
19.6%
Spain
64.3%
56
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 7.45pm
League A
Spain
1-0
Denmark
Zubimendi (79')
Raya (90+4')

Hjulmand (23'), Kristansen (85'), Bah (88'), Nelsson (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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