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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Denmark national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Parken
Serbia national football team

Denmark
2 - 0
Serbia

Gronbaek (36'), Poulsen (61')
Andersen (51'), Kristansen (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lukic (70'), Pavlovic (72'), Mitrovic (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Denmark and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Switzerland
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Serbia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 0-0 Spain
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Denmark 1-0 Serbia

 Denmark have won 11 of their last 12 home matches, drawing the other against Switzerland in March, so they will be hugely confident of extending that run after a win over the same opponents on Thursday. Serbia kept Spain at bay on the same night, but they need to show more in attack, and with no Mitrovic or Vlahovic they could struggle in that regard, and there is only so far a solely strong rearguard can get you. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.

Result
DenmarkDrawSerbia
42.2% (-0.012 -0.01) 27.67% (0.0010000000000012 0) 30.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.96% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)58.03% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.28% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)78.71% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.15% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)62.55% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (0.007000000000005 0.01)34.79% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)71.52% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Denmark 42.2%
    Serbia 30.13%
    Draw 27.67%
DenmarkDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 12.31%
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 42.2%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.45%
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 9.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 30.13%

How you voted: Denmark vs Serbia

Denmark
74.1%
Draw
19.0%
Serbia
6.9%
174
Head to Head
Jun 25, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
0-0
Serbia
Wind (27'), Hjulmand (30')
Milenkovic (4'), Mitrovic (83')
> Match Report
Mar 29, 2022 5pm
International Friendly
Denmark
3-0
Serbia
Maehle (15'), Lindstrom (53'), Eriksen (57')
> Preview
Jun 13, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Denmark
2-0
Serbia
Poulsen (13'), Poulsen (87')
Kjaer (46'), Kvist (58')

Kolarov (63')
> Match Report
Nov 14, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Serbia
1-3
Denmark
Tosic (4')
Bendtner (60', 85'), Kjaer (62')
Krohn-Dehli (79'), Kvist (79'), Jacobsen (87')
> Match Report
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