We said: England 1-0 Hungary
The fact that England's only goal in the Nations League so far has come from the penalty spot simply demonstrates how much Southgate's players could do with a well-earned break, but Three Lions fans are growing increasingly concerned about their side's Qatar hopes with each passing game.
The potential introductions of Jude Bellingham and Conor Gallagher to the midfield could yet prove pivotal in England breaking the Hungary lines, and while a high-scoring encounter is surely off the menu, Southgate's side can finally post a long-awaited win before the summer holidays commence.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 57.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.