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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Germany national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
England national football team

Germany
1 - 1
England

Hofmann (50')
Schlotterbeck (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kane (88' pen.)

The Match

Team News

Chelsea's Kai Havertz and Manchester City's Ilkay Gundogan are named in Germany's starting lineup for their UEFA Nations League clash against England on Tuesday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Germany and England, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Germany.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

Last Six:
Last Game: Germany 1-1 England
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Hungary vs. Germany
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

England

Last Six:
Last Game: Germany 1-1 England
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: England vs. Italy
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Germany 2-1 England

 Southgate's choice to go with an experimental XI did not pay dividends in Budapest, but there are several big-hitters ready and waiting to ensure England can return to scoring ways against a Germany defence that is far from impenetrable. An increase in ruthlessness could have seen Germany enter this contest with three points instead of one, but rival turf has not been kind to England in the Nations League, and we do not expect Southgate to inspire a turnaround in fortunes after only 72 hours. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for England had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest England win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawEngland
48.22% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 24.69% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 27.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.68% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.15% (-0.058 -0.06)47.85% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)70.03% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)19.89% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)52.01% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)31.74% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-0.064 -0.06)68.16% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Germany 48.22%
    England 27.09%
    Draw 24.69%
GermanyDrawEngland
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.23% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 48.22%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.09%

How you voted: Germany vs England

Germany
56.4%
Draw
18.1%
England
25.6%
559
Head to Head
Jun 29, 2021 5pm
England
2-0
Germany
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Rice (8'), Phillips (45'), Maguire (77')

Ginter (25'), Gosens (72')
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> Match Report
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England
> Match Report
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> Match Report
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> Match Report
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