Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Netherlands |
| 45.16% | 23.81% | 31.02% |
| Both teams to score 60.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.4% | 41.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36% | 64% |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% | 18.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50% | 50% |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% | 25.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.21% | 60.79% |
| Score Analysis |
Italy 45.16%
Netherlands 31.02%
Draw 23.81%
| Italy | Draw | Netherlands |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.46% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-1 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.02% |
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Netherlands
0-1
Italy
Mar 28, 2017 7.45pm
Sep 4, 2014 7.45pm
Jun 15, 2013 7.30pm
Form Guide
