MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:54:47| >> :120:60919:60919:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan national football team
Nations League | League B
Nov 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Astana Arena
Austria national football team

Kazakhstan
0 - 2
Austria


Vorogovskiy (90+1')
Marochkin (23')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Baumgartner (15'), Gregoritsch (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Kazakhstan and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-1 Slovenia
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Nations League

Austria

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Austria 5-1 Norway
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Kazakhstan 0-2 Austria

 While Austria will believe they belong among Europe's elite, Kazakhstan are simply along for the ride at League B level, which has proved too tough for them so far. The visitors should take care of business against their toothless hosts on Thursday, setting up a possible winner-takes-all showdown with Slovenia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.39%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Austria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austria.

Result
KazakhstanDrawAustria
11.69% (-2.081 -2.08) 21.06% (-1.041 -1.04) 67.24% (3.118 3.12)
Both teams to score 39.46% (-2.635 -2.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.66% (-0.331 -0.33)54.33% (0.325 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.28% (-0.275 -0.27)75.72% (0.273 0.27)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.61% (-3.657 -3.66)53.38% (3.653 3.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.1% (-2.424 -2.42)86.89% (2.421 2.42)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.65% (0.914 0.91)15.35% (-0.919 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.88% (1.694 1.69)44.11% (-1.697 -1.7)
Score Analysis
    Kazakhstan 11.69%
    Austria 67.23%
    Draw 21.06%
KazakhstanDrawAustria
1-0 @ 5.14% (-0.509 -0.51)
2-1 @ 3.02% (-0.561 -0.56)
2-0 @ 1.61% (-0.36 -0.36)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 11.69%
1-1 @ 9.64% (-0.622 -0.62)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 2.83% (-0.421 -0.42)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.06%
0-1 @ 15.35% (0.66 0.66)
0-2 @ 14.39% (1.06 1.06)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-3 @ 8.99% (0.916 0.92)
1-3 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 4.21% (0.547 0.55)
1-4 @ 2.64% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-5 @ 1.58% (0.247 0.25)
1-5 @ 0.99% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 67.23%

How you voted: Kazakhstan vs Austria

Kazakhstan
12.1%
Draw
12.9%
Austria
75.0%
140
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 7.45pm
League B
Austria
4-0
Kazakhstan
Baumgartner (10'), Lienhart (54'), Sabitzer (56'), Seidl (79')
Prass (15')

Alip (61'), Astanov (65'), Astanov (89')
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