We said: Kosovo 0-0 Romania
With new eras for both nations under managers taking charge of their first competitive matches, this is a tough one to call, especially given Kosovo's strong home form.
These two played out a goalless draw here last year, and another could be likely considering just one of Kosovo's last eight games, and only four of Romania's previous 13, have seen both teams score.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Romania had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.