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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Lithuania national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Marijampolės sporto centro stadione
Cyprus national football team

Lithuania
0 - 1
Cyprus


Kalinauskas (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pittas (34')
Kyprianou (32'), Panayiotou (45+1'), Karo (56'), Chrysostomou (69'), Andreou (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Lithuania and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lithuania 1-1 Estonia (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Cyprus

All competitions
Last Game: San Marino 1-4 Cyprus
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain82021
2Scotland8917
3Norway8211
4Georgia8-68
5Cyprus8-250

We said: Lithuania 1-1 Cyprus

 Lithuania had their struggles in the last Nations League campaign, but made up for it with some impressive results in Euro 2024 qualification, and should come into this break slightly rejuvenated after recent wins over Gibraltar, and only a narrow defeat in the Baltic Cup. Cyprus won their last international fixture, but that was to be expected against San Marino, and if manager Ketsbaia fails to end their five-year wait for an away competitive win, the pressure on him will mount. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 0-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
LithuaniaDrawCyprus
53.43% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45) 23.15% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 23.41% (0.355 0.36)
Both teams to score 56% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)44.35% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)66.73% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.44% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)16.56% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.66% (-0.311 -0.31)46.33% (0.315 0.31)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (0.288 0.29)32.89% (-0.28299999999999 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (0.32 0.32)69.46% (-0.315 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 53.44%
    Cyprus 23.41%
    Draw 23.15%
LithuaniaDrawCyprus
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 53.44%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.15%
0-1 @ 6.06% (0.059 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.37% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 23.41%

How you voted: Lithuania vs Cyprus

Lithuania
44.1%
Draw
40.7%
Cyprus
15.3%
118
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 4pm
Friendlies 2
Cyprus
1-0
Lithuania
Pittas (22')
Ioannou (78')

Girdvainis (6'), Paulauskas (41'), Gineitis (45'), Lekiatas (48')
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