MX23RW : Monday, January 20 20:52:49| >> :600:8559243:8559243:
Montenegro national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Pod Goricom
Lithuania national football team

Montenegro
2 - 0
Lithuania

Kuc (3'), Jovetic (48')
Vujacic (28'), Rubezic (32'), Radunovic (34'), Camaj (72'), Kuc (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vorobjovas (41'), Utkus (57'), Lasickas (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Montenegro and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Serbia 3-1 Montenegro
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lithuania 2-2 Hungary
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Montenegro 2-1 Lithuania

While there is nothing but pride riding on this fixture for Lithuania, Montenegro can keep their slim hopes of securing a top-two finish in Group G alive with a win on Thursday, but they must hope that Serbia fail to beat Bulgaria on Sunday. Lithuania managed to frustrate Montenegro in the reverse fixture, but we believe that the hosts will do enough to claim a slender victory this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 62.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.73%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result
MontenegroDrawLithuania
62.61% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 23.43% (0.0019999999999989 0) 13.96% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 39.14% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)58.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.06% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)78.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)18.34% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)49.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.07% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)86.05% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Montenegro 62.6%
    Lithuania 13.96%
    Draw 23.43%
MontenegroDrawLithuania
1-0 @ 16.19%
2-0 @ 13.73%
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.77%
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 62.6%
1-1 @ 10.57%
0-0 @ 9.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 2.93%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 6.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 3.45%
0-2 @ 2.03%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 13.96%

How you voted: Montenegro vs Lithuania

Montenegro
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Lithuania
8.3%
60
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Lithuania
2-2
Montenegro
Paulauskas (71'), Cernych (90+4')
Girdvainis (30')
Krstovic (78'), Savic (89')
Radulovic (31'), Durdevic (84')
Oct 14, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Lithuania
1-4
Montenegro
Mugosa (10', 45'), Kopitovic (35'), Zoric (86')
Vesovic (33')
Sep 10, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Montenegro
2-0
Lithuania
Savic (34' pen.), Jankovic (36')
Vukcevic (14'), Jankovic (38')

Vaitkunas (52'), Lasickas (54'), Vorobjovas (79')
rhs 2.0
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