MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 18:17:48| >> :600:213510:213510:
Northern Ireland national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
Windsor Park
Kosovo national football team

N. Ireland
2 - 1
Kosovo

Whyte (82'), Magennis (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muriqi (58')
Fazliji (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Northern Ireland and Kosovo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-2 Cyprus
Sunday, June 12 at 2pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Greece 2-0 Kosovo
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Northern Ireland 1-1 Kosovo

Given their lack of victories of late, it is difficult to back with Northern Ireland will any level of confidence. However, under pressure to avoid defeat, we feel that Baraclough's men will do just enough to earn a hard-fought share of the spoils against opponents who would also accept a point at Windsor Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Northern IrelandDrawKosovo
34.93% (0.11499999999999 0.11) 26.58% (0.13 0.13) 38.48% (-0.248 -0.25)
Both teams to score 52.16% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (-0.537 -0.54)52.75% (0.532 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61% (-0.462 -0.46)74.38% (0.456 0.46)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.194 -0.19)28.81% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.24 -0.24)64.66% (0.23599999999999 0.24)
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (-0.39099999999999 -0.39)26.72% (0.386 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (-0.516 -0.52)61.98% (0.509 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 34.93%
    Kosovo 38.48%
    Draw 26.58%
Northern IrelandDrawKosovo
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.93%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 10.16% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.48%

How you voted: N. Ireland vs Kosovo

Northern Ireland
45.1%
Draw
28.7%
Kosovo
26.2%
122
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2022 7.45pm
League C2
Kosovo
3-2
N. Ireland
Muriqi (9' pen., 52'), Bytyqi (19')
Dresevic (90'), Kastrati (90+2'), Fazliji (90+5')
Lavery (45'), Ballard (83')
Lavery (29'), Thompson (88')
rhs 2.0
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