N. Ireland

2 - 1

Kosovo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.