Nations League | League A
Sep 5, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Portugal4 - 1Croatia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Croatia win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Croatia |
| 59.25% | 22.5% | 18.26% |
| Both teams to score 50.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.92% | 48.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.75% | 70.25% |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% | 15.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.92% | 45.08% |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.81% | 40.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.18% | 76.82% |
| Score Analysis |
Portugal 59.23%
Croatia 18.26%
Draw 22.5%
| Portugal | Draw | Croatia |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% 2-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 6.05% 4-0 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-2 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.17% Total : 59.23% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.5% | 0-1 @ 5.81% 1-2 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.07% Total : 18.26% |
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2020 6.30pm
Friendlies 1
Croatia
P-P
Portugal
Jun 25, 2016 8pm
Jun 10, 2013 6.30pm
