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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Solitude

Cliftonville
4 - 0
Carrick

Wilson (6', 42'), Doherty (23' pen.), Hale (64')
Pepper (88')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Cushley (9'), Crowe (60'), McGuckin (90+1')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Cliftonville and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-3 Cliftonville
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Coleraine
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.

Result
CliftonvilleDrawCarrick Rangers
50.91% (-0.113 -0.11) 25.25% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 23.83% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.89% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (-0.326 -0.33)52.67% (0.327 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (-0.281 -0.28)74.31% (0.283 0.28)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)20.7% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.7% (-0.281 -0.28)53.3% (0.284 0.28)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.91% (-0.158 -0.16)37.08% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.13% (-0.158 -0.16)73.87% (0.16 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Cliftonville 50.91%
    Carrick Rangers 23.83%
    Draw 25.25%
CliftonvilleDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 12.09% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.066 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 23.83%

Head to Head
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Carrick
3-3
Cliftonville
Cushley (30'), Cherry (51'), Anderson (90')
Ives (15'), Moore (31'), Hale (45+4')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 13
Cliftonville
1-0
Carrick
Curran (77' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Cliftonville
3-2
Carrick
Hale (1'), Curran (53' pen.), Gormley (69')
Anderson (38'), Mitchell (43')
Ervin (28')
Surgenor (63')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Carrick
2-3
Cliftonville
Surgenor (52'), Glendinning (85')
Gibson (82')
Doherty (18', 65'), Gormley (76')
O'Neill (61')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Cliftonville
2-0
Carrick
O'Neill (17'), Curran (44')
(64')

Ervin (45+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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