MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 16:20:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Apr 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
1 - 0
Carrick

Kelly (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 2-2 Ballymena
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-3 Glenavon
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ballymena United in this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
43.93% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07) 27.02% (0.038 0.04) 29.06% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.86% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.95% (-0.128 -0.13)56.05% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87% (-0.105 -0.11)77.13% (0.107 0.11)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)25.35% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (-0.125 -0.13)60.13% (0.127 0.13)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.45% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)34.55% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.73% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)71.27% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 43.92%
    Carrick Rangers 29.06%
    Draw 27.01%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.25% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 43.92%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.76% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 29.06%

Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 28
Carrick
1-0
Ballymena
Macuilaitis (28')

Wilson (43')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 17
Carrick
0-2
Ballymena
Wilson (73'), Graham (87')
Whiteside (40')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 7
Ballymena
0-1
Carrick
Cushley (52')
Ervin (12')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
gameweek 4
Ballymena
3-0
Carrick
Parkhouse (6'), Surgenor (8' og.), Millar (25')
Strain (43')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Carrick
3-0
Ballymena
Cushley (40', 65' pen.), Kelly (78')
Gawne (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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