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NIFL Premiership
May 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 2
Coleraine

O'Rourke (36'), Larmour (37'), Forsythe (90+2')
Clarke (45+5'), Lowry (49'), Heatley (75'), Nixon (82'), Nixon (82'), Larmour (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
McGonigle (5'), Carson (70')
Scott (82')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Coleraine.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Carrick
Wednesday, May 1 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 0-3 Coleraine
Wednesday, May 1 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Coleraine win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawColeraine
58.98% (0.612 0.61) 21.32% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 19.69% (-0.516 -0.52)
Both teams to score 56.76% (-0.569 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.21% (-0.339 -0.34)40.78% (0.34099999999999 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.83% (-0.347 -0.35)63.17% (0.35 0.35)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (0.074999999999989 0.07)13.52% (-0.074 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.43% (0.15 0.15)40.57% (-0.147 -0.15)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.63% (-0.714 -0.71)34.36% (0.717 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93% (-0.771 -0.77)71.07% (0.77499999999999 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 58.98%
    Coleraine 19.69%
    Draw 21.32%
CrusadersDrawColeraine
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.194 0.19)
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.169 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.2% (0.146 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.32% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.1% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 58.98%
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.32%
1-2 @ 5.3% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 19.69%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Coleraine
0-2
Crusaders

Jarvis (77'), Glackin (83')
Larmour (20'), Forsythe (44' pen.)
Jarvis (46'), Boyd (63'), Forsythe (82')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Crusaders
1-1
Coleraine
Forsythe (69' pen.)
Joe Burns (52'), Lecky (52'), Owens (86')
Carson (29' pen.)
Kane (52'), McGonigle (70'), Brown (81')
Kane (68')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Crusaders
0-2
Coleraine

Joe Burns (30'), O'Rourke (54'), Smith (57'), Heatley (66')
McKendry (54', 77')
McKendry (45+1'), Mitchell (72')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Coleraine
0-4
Crusaders

Carson (47')
Lowry (14'), Kennedy (81'), Larmour (87'), O'Rourke (90+1')
Kennedy (39'), Anderson (62'), Lowry (84')
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Crusaders
3-1
Coleraine
Forsythe (52' pen., 77'), Lowry (65')
McCrudden (38' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield20142439162344
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
3PortadownPortadown199462719831
4CliftonvilleCliftonville199462719831
5GlentoranGlentoran209472419531
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena1990102223-127
7CrusadersCrusaders198382426-227
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon204791729-1219
12Loughgall2034132048-2813


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