Dungannon

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Loughgall

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Loughgall would win this match.