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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
2 - 0
Dungannon

Gibson (87'), Nelson (90+4')
Whiteside (29'), McVarnock (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Knowles (73'), McCready (76'), McGee (86')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 3-2 Ballymena
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Dungannon
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawDungannon Swifts
46.64% (-0.166 -0.17) 25.24% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 28.12% (0.154 0.15)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.49% (0.033999999999999 0.03)49.51% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.46% (0.030999999999999 0.03)71.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)21.24% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.85% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)54.15% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (0.13300000000001 0.13)31.82% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74% (0.152 0.15)68.26% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 46.63%
    Dungannon Swifts 28.12%
    Draw 25.24%
Ballymena UnitedDrawDungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 46.63%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.74% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 28.12%

Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Ballymena
2-0
Dungannon
McGrory (52' pen.), McDaid (90+5')
Wilson (45+2')

McGinty (52')
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
Dungannon
1-1
Ballymena
O'Connor (29')
McDaid (36')
Whiteside (19')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Dungannon
0-2
Ballymena
Kelly (51'), Keeley (88')
Tweed (14')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Dungannon
1-2
Ballymena
McMullan (50' og.)
Campbell (45')
McElroy (87'), McGrory (90+2' pen.)
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
1-0
Dungannon
McCullough (88')
Graham (54')

McGinty (43'), McGee (45+1'), Mayse (59'), McKendry (76')
Mayse (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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