Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.