MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 23:36:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 27
Jan 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
3 - 0
Newry City AFC

Gallagher (17'), Cosgrove (52'), Ryan (73' pen.)
Cosgrove (14'), Bonis (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

King (14'), Bagnall (14')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 0-2 Larne
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-2 Cliftonville
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 89.6%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 2.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 4-0 (11.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (1.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Larne in this match.

Result
LarneDrawNewry City AFC
89.6% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 7.81% (0.025 0.03) 2.59% (0.015 0.02)
Both teams to score 33.63% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.19% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)29.81% (0.038 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.03% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)50.97% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.9% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)4.1% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.81% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)17.19% (0.041 0.04)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.07% (0.061 0.06)64.94% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.03% (0.026 0.03)92.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Larne 89.6%
    Newry City AFC 2.59%
    Draw 7.81%
LarneDrawNewry City AFC
3-0 @ 14.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 13.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 11.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 7.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.86% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
6-0 @ 3.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 89.6%
1-1 @ 3.67% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 7.81%
0-1 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 2.59%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Newry City AFC
1-2
Larne
Salley (56')
Martin (6'), Bagnall (37'), McKeown (67')
Thomson (79', 85')
Orozco (56'), Bonis (80'), Cosgrove (84'), Ives (90')
Paul (72'), Paul (73')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Larne
4-0
Newry City AFC
O'Neill (4'), Ives (41', 76'), Glynn (43')
Donnelly (7'), Orozco (15')

O'Connor (7'), Forde (64'), Healy (66')
Jan 29, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Larne
2-0
Newry City AFC
Sule (12'), Cosgrove (49')
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Newry City AFC
0-2
Larne
Millar (60'), Randall (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield22153440162448
2GlentoranGlentoran2311572820838
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2311392926336
4PortadownPortadown2210482823534
5CliftonvilleCliftonville219482823531
6CrusadersCrusaders229492627-131
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena22101112729-231
8ColeraineColeraine228683733430
9LarneLarne167541712526
10GlenavonGlenavon2367102130-925
11Carrick RangersCarrick2156102030-1021
12Loughgall2334162456-3213


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