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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 18
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
4 - 0
Ballymena

Fitzpatrick (10', 78'), Millar (23'), McClean (66')
East (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McGrory (36')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 1-2 Larne
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 5-0 Ballymena
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 84.07%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 4.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.69%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.28%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawBallymena United
84.07% (0.127 0.13) 11.1% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09) 4.83% (-0.043 -0.04)
Both teams to score 40.63% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.36% (0.232 0.23)33.63% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.55% (0.264 0.26)55.45% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.23% (0.067000000000007 0.07)5.76% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.79% (0.196 0.2)22.21% (-0.199 -0.2)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.11% (0.012999999999998 0.01)56.88% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.02% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)88.97% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 84.05%
    Ballymena United 4.83%
    Draw 11.1%
LinfieldDrawBallymena United
2-0 @ 13.34% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 12.69%
1-0 @ 9.36% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 9.06% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 5.17% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.11% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.92% (0.027 0.03)
6-0 @ 2.46% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.008 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.39% (0.018 0.02)
7-0 @ 1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 84.05%
1-1 @ 5.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 11.1%
0-1 @ 1.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 1.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 4.83%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Ballymena
0-1
Linfield

Nelson (35'), McGuigan (40'), Place (53'), McCullough (60'), Graham (73'), McMurray (87')
McKee (83')
Shields (65')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Linfield
3-0
Ballymena
Vertainen (16', 36', 46')
Nov 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Ballymena
0-2
Linfield
McKee (28'), Callacher (51')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ballymena
0-4
Linfield

Henderson (7'), Graham (34'), (59')
Cooper (39'), Millar (45'), Shields (59' pen.), McDaid (62')
Clarke (12')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Ballymena
0-2
Linfield

Graham (72')
McCullough (35' og.), Shields (73' pen.)
Mulgrew (67')
Manzinga (39')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1793526161030
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon189272421329
4PortadownPortadown178452417728
5GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
7ColeraineColeraine177462822625
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick1743101829-1115
11GlenavonGlenavon183691125-1415
12Loughgall1832131846-2811


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