MX23RW : Monday, January 27 17:10:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
1 - 0
Ballymena

Lecky (45')
Anderson (61'), Robinson (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McCullough (76')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 1-1 Crusaders
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-2 Newry City AFC
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 11.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
69.07% (-0.646 -0.65) 19.17% (0.369 0.37) 11.75% (0.274 0.27)
Both teams to score 45.04% (-0.301 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.892 -0.89)46.75% (0.892 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98% (-0.841 -0.84)69.01% (0.84 0.84)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.58% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)12.42% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.67% (-0.92899999999999 -0.93)38.33% (0.927 0.93)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.43% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)48.56% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.36% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)83.64% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 69.07%
    Ballymena United 11.75%
    Draw 19.17%
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
2-0 @ 13.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 12.58% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.12% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.76% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 3.44% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 69.07%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.164 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 19.17%
0-1 @ 4.36% (0.152 0.15)
1-2 @ 3.28% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 11.75%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Ballymena
1-2
Crusaders
Strain (90+7')
McGuigan (31'), Whiteside (79')
Coates (60')
Lecky (16'), O'Rourke (29')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Nov 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Crusaders
0-1
Ballymena
Nelson (80')
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Crusaders
3-0
Ballymena
Lowry (29'), O'Rourke (33'), Forsythe (82')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Crusaders
2-1
Ballymena
Lowry (9'), McMurray (65')
Forsythe (36')
Strain (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield25183448183057
2GlentoranGlentoran2412573021941
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon26124103731640
4PortadownPortadown25114103229337
5CrusadersCrusaders26114113337-437
6LarneLarne19105424141035
7CliftonvilleCliftonville24104103127434
8Ballymena UnitedBallymena24102122831-332
9ColeraineColeraine248793836231
10GlenavonGlenavon2587102633-731
11Carrick RangersCarrick2457122135-1422
12Loughgall2634192561-3613


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!