MX23RW : Friday, December 27 16:50:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
1 - 0
Ballymena

Lecky (45')
Anderson (61'), Robinson (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McCullough (76')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 1-1 Crusaders
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-2 Newry City AFC
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 11.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
69.07% (-0.646 -0.65) 19.17% (0.369 0.37) 11.75% (0.274 0.27)
Both teams to score 45.04% (-0.301 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.892 -0.89)46.75% (0.892 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98% (-0.841 -0.84)69.01% (0.84 0.84)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.58% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)12.42% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.67% (-0.92899999999999 -0.93)38.33% (0.927 0.93)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.43% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)48.56% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.36% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)83.64% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 69.07%
    Ballymena United 11.75%
    Draw 19.17%
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
2-0 @ 13.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 12.58% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.12% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.76% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 3.44% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 69.07%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.164 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 19.17%
0-1 @ 4.36% (0.152 0.15)
1-2 @ 3.28% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 11.75%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Ballymena
1-2
Crusaders
Strain (90+7')
McGuigan (31'), Whiteside (79')
Coates (60')
Lecky (16'), O'Rourke (29')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Nov 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Crusaders
0-1
Ballymena
Nelson (80')
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Crusaders
3-0
Ballymena
Lowry (29'), O'Rourke (33'), Forsythe (82')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Crusaders
2-1
Ballymena
Lowry (9'), McMurray (65')
Forsythe (36')
Strain (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield22153440162448
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2311392926336
3GlentoranGlentoran2210572620635
4PortadownPortadown2110472821734
5CliftonvilleCliftonville219482823531
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena21101102727031
7CrusadersCrusaders219392627-130
8ColeraineColeraine217683432227
9LarneLarne167541712526
10GlenavonGlenavon2257101930-1122
11Carrick RangersCarrick2055102030-1020
12Loughgall2234152353-3013


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