Linfield

3 - 1

Dungannon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.