Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Australia Women had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.15%) and 0-1 (4.69%). The likeliest Australia Women win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.