MX23RW : Friday, November 8 19:14:27| >> :600:2246016:2246016:
Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 28, 2024 at 4pm UK
Parc des Princes
Japan national football team

Brazil Women
1 - 2
Japan Women

da Silva Cordinali Gouveia (56')
Lauren (3'), Marta (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kumagai (90+1' pen.), Tanikawa (90+6')
Minami (71')
Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage clash between Brazil Women and Japan Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Nigeria Women 0-1 Brazil Women
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Spain Women 2-1 Japan Women
Thursday, July 25 at 4pm in Olympic Games Women's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Women win with a probability of 71.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Japan Women had a probability of 12.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Japan Women win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Brazil WomenDrawJapan Women
71.66% (-1.063 -1.06) 16.28% (0.311 0.31) 12.05% (0.749 0.75)
Both teams to score 56.62% (1.482 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.76% (0.61399999999999 0.61)32.24% (-0.617 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.15% (0.711 0.71)53.84% (-0.714 -0.71)
Brazil Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.09% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)7.9% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.03% (-0.184 -0.18)27.97% (0.18 0.18)
Japan Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.48% (1.654 1.65)38.52% (-1.658 -1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.73% (1.541 1.54)75.27% (-1.545 -1.55)
Score Analysis
    Brazil Women 71.66%
    Japan Women 12.05%
    Draw 16.28%
Brazil WomenDrawJapan Women
2-0 @ 9.8% (-0.396 -0.4)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 8.29% (-0.371 -0.37)
3-1 @ 7.91% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.288 -0.29)
4-0 @ 5.26% (-0.255 -0.26)
4-1 @ 5.02% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.171 0.17)
5-0 @ 2.67% (-0.14 -0.14)
5-1 @ 2.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.39% (0.1 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.22% (0.047 0.05)
6-0 @ 1.13% (-0.064 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 71.66%
1-1 @ 7.37% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.218 0.22)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 16.28%
1-2 @ 3.52% (0.184 0.18)
0-1 @ 2.91% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 1.39% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 12.05%

How you voted: Brazil Women vs Japan Women

Brazil Women
50.0%
Draw
38.5%
Japan Women
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 9pm
Third-Place Playoff
Japan Women
1-1
Brazil Women
(Aggregate 1-1 | Brazil Women win 1-0 on penalties)
Tanaka (35')
Koga (77')
Rozeira (71')
Lauren (8'), Palermo (25')
Feb 16, 2023 9pm