There is little to separate these two nations seeking to make a positive start on matchday one in their quest to secure a top-two finish in Group B. Both sides have the potential to cause each other problems in the final third, but we are backing Ukraine to edge this contest in Lyon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iraq Under-23s win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw has a probability of 22.4% and a win for Ukraine Under-23s has a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq Under-23s win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Ukraine Under-23s win it is 0-1 (5.72%).

Result
Iraq Under-23s	Draw	Ukraine Under-23s
58.57% ( -8.62)	22.4% ( 1.78)	19.03% ( 6.84)

Both teams to score 52% (

9.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.46% (

5.07)

46.54% (

-5.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.18% (

4.59)

68.81% (

-4.59)

Iraq Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.43% (

-1.09)

15.56% (

1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.48% (

-2.06)

44.51% (

2.06)

Ukraine Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.58% (

12.43)

38.41% (

-12.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.83% (

10.07)

75.16% (

-10.07)

Score Analysis

Iraq Under-23s 58.56%

Ukraine Under-23s 19.03%

Draw 22.4%

Iraq Under-23s	Draw	Ukraine Under-23s
1-0 @ 11.12% ( -3.1) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( -3.4) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.6) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( -2.44) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( -1.3) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.91) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.39) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.54) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.35% Total : 58.56%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( 1.02) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -1.38) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 1.59) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.48) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.4%	0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.74) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 1.84) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( 1.05) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.89) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.8) Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.03%