MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:48:41| >> :600:3353269:3353269:
Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Israel U23s
0 - 1
Japan U23s


Shahar (16'), Feingold (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hosoya (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Israel Under-23s and Japan Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Israel U23s 2-4 Paraguay U23s
Saturday, July 27 at 6pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
All competitions
Last Game: Japan U23s 1-0 Mali Under-23s
Saturday, July 27 at 8pm in Olympic Games Men's Football

We said: Israel 1-3 Japan

Japan have laid down an early marker with their performances so far and it is hard to bet against them keeping their 100% start intact. We are tipping Oiwa's men to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-23s win with a probability of 75.5%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Israel Under-23s had a probability of 9.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-23s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.31%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Israel Under-23s win it was 2-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Israel Under-23sDrawJapan Under-23s
9.69% (-0.052 -0.05) 14.8% (0.016 0.02) 75.5% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.45% (-0.306 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.01% (-0.267 -0.27)31.99% (0.27 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.45% (-0.314 -0.31)53.55% (0.316 0.32)
Israel Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.52% (-0.294 -0.29)42.48% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.15% (-0.255 -0.25)78.85% (0.258 0.26)
Japan Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.93% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)7.07% (0.056 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.2% (-0.139 -0.14)25.8% (0.144 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Israel Under-23s 9.69%
    Japan Under-23s 75.5%
    Draw 14.8%
Israel Under-23sDrawJapan Under-23s
2-1 @ 2.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 2.57% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 9.69%
1-1 @ 6.81% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 14.8%
0-2 @ 10.54% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 9.31% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.97% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.093 0.09)
0-4 @ 6.17% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 5.28% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-5 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 2.8% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
1-6 @ 1.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 75.5%

How you voted: Israel U23s vs Japan U23s

Israel Under-23s
14.0%
Draw
4.7%
Japan Under-23s
81.4%
86