Israel U23s0 - 1Japan U23s
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, July 27 at 6pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Saturday, July 27 at 8pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
We said: Israel 1-3 Japan
Japan have laid down an early marker with their performances so far and it is hard to bet against them keeping their 100% start intact. We are tipping Oiwa's men to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-23s win with a probability of 75.5%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Israel Under-23s had a probability of 9.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-23s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.31%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Israel Under-23s win it was 2-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan Under-23s would win this match.
Result | ||
Israel Under-23s | Draw | Japan Under-23s |
9.69% ( -0.05) | 14.8% ( 0.02) | 75.5% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.45% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.01% ( -0.27) | 31.99% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.45% ( -0.31) | 53.55% ( 0.32) |
Israel Under-23s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.52% ( -0.29) | 42.48% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.15% ( -0.25) | 78.85% ( 0.26) |
Japan Under-23s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.93% ( -0.05) | 7.07% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.2% ( -0.14) | 25.8% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Israel Under-23s | Draw | Japan Under-23s |
2-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 9.69% | 1-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 14.8% | 0-2 @ 10.54% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 9.31% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.97% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 5.28% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 3.27% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 0-6 @ 1.44% ( -0) 1-6 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 75.5% |
How you voted: Israel U23s vs Japan U23s