MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:10:16| >> :600:3340164:3340164:
Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 30, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Matmut-Atlantique

Spain U23s
1 - 2
Egypt U23s

Omorodion (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adel (40', 62')
Eid (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Spain Under-23s and Egypt Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Dominican Republic U23s 1-3 Spain U23s
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
All competitions
Last Game: Uzbekistan U23s 0-1 Egypt U23s
Saturday, July 27 at 4pm in Olympic Games Men's Football

We said: Spain 2-0 Egypt

Spain have been in scintillating form at the top end of the pitch and while Egypt have been defensively sturdy of late, we can see Denia's men getting the job done in a relatively comfortable manner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt Under-23s win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Spain Under-23s had a probability of 19.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.68%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Spain Under-23s win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Egypt Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Spain Under-23sDrawEgypt Under-23s
19.19% (0.134 0.13) 23.21% (0.107 0.11) 57.59% (-0.244 -0.24)
Both teams to score 49.76% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)49.67% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.31% (-0.235 -0.23)71.69% (0.229 0.23)
Spain Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)40.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)76.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Egypt Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83% (-0.182 -0.18)17% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.88% (-0.317 -0.32)47.11% (0.312 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Spain Under-23s 19.19%
    Egypt Under-23s 57.58%
    Draw 23.2%
Spain Under-23sDrawEgypt Under-23s
1-0 @ 6.23% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.05% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.85% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 19.19%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.2%
0-1 @ 12.06% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.32% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.78% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.8% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 57.58%

How you voted: Spain U23s vs Egypt U23s

Spain Under-23s
76.6%
Draw
16.9%
Egypt Under-23s
6.5%
77
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2021 8.30am
Group Stage
Egypt U23s
0-0
Spain U23s
El Fotouh (5'), Mohamed (44'), Hegazy (78'), Galal Toeima (88')