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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
3 - 2
Radomiak Radom

Imaz (27'), Naranjo (45+8'), Pululu (46')
Nene (32'), Kupisz (84')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Henrique (3', 12')
Raphael (32'), Cestor (34'), Machado (55'), Kaput (80')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Radomiak Radom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, September 3 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-1 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, September 2 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRadomiak Radom
40.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 25.94% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 33.5% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.99% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71% (0.061999999999998 0.06)50.28% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (0.056000000000001 0.06)72.23% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52% (0.022999999999996 0.02)24.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07% (0.031999999999996 0.03)58.92% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Radomiak Radom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49% (0.048000000000002 0.05)28.51% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71% (0.056000000000004 0.06)64.28% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 40.56%
    Radomiak Radom 33.5%
    Draw 25.93%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRadomiak Radom
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 40.56%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.49%
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.5%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan14101325101531
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1410132619731
3Rakow CzestochowaRakow149321741330
4KS CracoviaCracovia1492330201029
5Legia WarsawLegia1474326141225
6Pogon SzczecinSzczecin147162119222
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice145541614220
8Widzew Lodz145451819-119
9Gornik ZabrzeGornik145361817118
10Zaglebie Lubin145361419-518
11Motor Lublin145361925-618
12Katowice144462019116
13Korona Kielce144371222-1015
14Radomiak Radom134181821-313
15Stal Mielec143381219-712
16Puszcza Niepolomice142571323-1011
17Lechia GdanskGdansk142481728-1110
18Slask Wroclaw131661121-109


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