Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Kolporter Arena
Korona Kielce1 - 1Warta Poznan
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Warta Poznan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-3 Korona Kielce
Friday, September 29 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, September 29 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-1 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, September 30 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, September 30 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Warta Poznan |
36.98% ( -0.38) | 28.07% ( 0.09) | 34.95% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 47.55% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.46% ( -0.33) | 58.54% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.89% ( -0.26) | 79.12% ( 0.26) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% ( -0.4) | 30.4% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.4% ( -0.47) | 66.6% ( 0.48) |
| Warta Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( 0.02) | 31.68% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.9% ( 0.02) | 68.1% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Korona Kielce 36.97%
Warta Poznan 34.95%
Draw 28.07%
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Warta Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.97% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.95% |
Form Guide
