MX23RW : Monday, November 25 12:05:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
2 - 1
Jagiellonia

Koulouris (44'), Grosicki (48' pen.)
Kurzawa (37'), Smolinski (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Malec (35' og.)
Romanczuk (90+8')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-0 Szczecin
Friday, October 20 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-3 Jagiellonia
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pogon Szczecin in this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
49.66% (-0.373 -0.37) 22.1% (0.149 0.15) 28.24% (0.226 0.23)
Both teams to score 64.73% (-0.36200000000001 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.97% (-0.551 -0.55)35.03% (0.556 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.98% (-0.619 -0.62)57.02% (0.623 0.62)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.51% (-0.319 -0.32)14.5% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.51% (-0.627 -0.63)42.49% (0.63 0.63)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.139 -0.14)24.3% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)58.68% (0.2 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 49.66%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 28.24%
    Draw 22.1%
Pogon SzczecinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 49.66%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.52% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.98% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 28.24%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan16121332122037
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1610333023733
3Rakow CzestochowaRakow169522071332
4KS CracoviaCracovia169253527829
5Legia WarsawLegia1684431211028
6Pogon SzczecinSzczecin168172420425
7Gornik ZabrzeGornik167362017324
8Motor Lublin167362428-424
9Widzew Lodz156452019122
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice165561818020
11Katowice165472424019
12Stal Mielec165381620-418
13Zaglebie Lubin165381523-818
14Korona Kielce164571323-1017
15Radomiak Radom155192023-316
16Puszcza Niepolomice152581325-1211
17Lechia GdanskGdansk162591731-1411
18Slask Wroclaw151771324-1110


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