Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Lechia Gdansk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cracovia 1-1 Stal Mielec
Monday, September 30 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Monday, September 30 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gdansk 1-1 Widzew Lodz
Friday, September 27 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, September 27 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stal Mielec win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stal Mielec win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stal Mielec would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
38.17% ( 0) | 25.32% ( 0.02) | 36.51% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.61% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% ( -0.1) | 47.13% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% ( -0.09) | 69.37% ( 0.09) |
| Stal Mielec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0.05) | 24.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.31% ( -0.06) | 58.69% ( 0.06) |
| Lechia Gdansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( -0.06) | 25.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.05% ( -0.08) | 59.95% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Stal Mielec 38.17%
Lechia Gdansk 36.51%
Draw 25.31%
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.51% |
Form Guide
