Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-23s win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-23s would win this match.
