Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.