Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-23s would win this match.
