Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-23s would win this match.
