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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Liverpool logo

Arsenal
3 - 1
Liverpool

Saka (14'), Martinelli (67'), Trossard (90+2')
White (31'), Magalhaes (57'), Kiwior (69'), Havertz (90+5'), Rice (90+4'), Saliba (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Magalhaes (45+3' og.)
Gomez (25'), Konate (55'), Nunez (90')
Konate (88')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal blow the Premier League title race wide open with a 3-1 win over 10-man Liverpool in a game of three defensive calamities.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Liverpool.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Liverpool.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Arsenal's injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with title rivals Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-2 Arsenal
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawLiverpool
51.29% (1.494 1.49) 21.71% (-0.169 -0.17) 27% (-1.33 -1.33)
Both teams to score 65.09% (-0.54600000000001 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.91% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)34.09% (0.227 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.03% (-0.26 -0.26)55.96% (0.256 0.26)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36% (0.39400000000001 0.39)13.63% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.2% (0.785 0.79)40.8% (-0.79 -0.79)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.98399999999999 -0.98)24.62% (0.979 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-1.395 -1.4)59.13% (1.39 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 51.29%
    Liverpool 27%
    Draw 21.71%
ArsenalDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.114 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.174 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.266 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.239 0.24)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.126 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.149 0.15)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.067 0.07)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 51.29%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.36% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-1 @ 4.7% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Liverpool

Arsenal
27.3%
Draw
15.3%
Liverpool
57.4%
652
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 4.30pm
Third Round
Arsenal
0-2
Liverpool

Saliba (65')
Kiwior (80' og.), Diaz (90+5')
Elliott (70'), Gravenberch (90'), Clark (90+1'), Alexander-Arnold (90+4')
Dec 23, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Liverpool
1-1
Arsenal
Salah (29')
Endo (45+3'), Salah (84')
Magalhaes (4')
Saka (38'), Havertz (45+4'), Rice (49'), Nketiah (86'), White (90+1')
Apr 9, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Liverpool
2-2
Arsenal
Salah (42'), Firmino (87')
Martinelli (8'), Jesus (28')
Oct 9, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Arsenal
3-2
Liverpool
Martinelli (1'), Saka (45+5', 76' pen.)
Nunez (34'), Firmino (53')
Mar 16, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 27
Arsenal
0-2
Liverpool
Jota (54'), Firmino (62')
Firmino (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
6Chelsea21107441261537
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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