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Premier League | Gameweek 6
Oct 23, 2020 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Leeds logo

Aston Villa
0 - 3
Leeds


Mings (53'), Grealish (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bamford (55', 67', 74')
Struijk (10'), Klich (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Patrick Bamford is on six goals for the season after Leeds inflicted Villa's first Premier League loss.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday night's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLeeds United
26.15%24.42%49.44%
Both teams to score 54.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64%47.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42%69.58%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78%32.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29%68.72%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8%19.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12%50.89%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 26.15%
    Leeds United 49.44%
    Draw 24.41%
Aston VillaDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 7.01%
2-1 @ 6.55%
2-0 @ 3.97%
3-1 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.15%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 10.21%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-2 @ 8.43%
1-3 @ 5.25%
0-3 @ 4.63%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 2.17%
0-4 @ 1.91%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.44%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 45
Leeds
1-1
Aston Villa
Klich (72')
Hernandez (14'), Cooper (21'), Klich (63'), Bamford (75')
Adomah (77')
Hourihane (75'), McGinn (80')
El Ghazi (75')
Dec 23, 2018 1.30pm
Gameweek 23
Aston Villa
2-3
Leeds
Abraham (5'), Hourihane (17')
Bolasie (7'), McGinn (81')
Clarke (56'), Jansson (61'), Roofe (90')
Klich (69'), Alioski (87'), Roofe (90')
Apr 13, 2018 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2017 7.45pm
Leeds
1-1
Aston Villa
Jansson (19')
Jansson (73'), Saiz (76')
Lansbury (70')
Hourihane (27'), Snodgrass (45'), Hutton (90')
Dec 29, 2016 7.45pm
Aston Villa
1-1
Leeds
Kodjia (85' pen.)
Bacuna (86'), Gestede (86'), Chester (92')
Jansson (54')
Bridcutt (59'), Cooper (85'), Jansson (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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