Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Fulham |
42.85% ( 0.14) | 25.11% ( -0.02) | 32.03% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.89% ( 0.04) | 47.11% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.65% ( 0.04) | 69.34% ( -0.04) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% ( 0.09) | 21.96% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.75% ( 0.13) | 55.25% ( -0.13) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.12% ( -0.06) | 27.88% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.51% ( -0.08) | 63.49% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Fulham |
1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 42.85% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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