MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 16:00:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arsenal logo
Aston Villa logo
Bournemouth logo
Brentford logo
Brighton logo
Chelsea logo
Crystal Palace logo
Everton logo
Fulham logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Liverpool logo
Manchester City logo
Manchester United logo
Newcastle logo
Nottingham Forest logo
Southampton logo
Spurs logo
West Ham logo
Wolves logo
Bournemouth logo
Premier League | Gameweek 17
Mar 13, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Luton Town

Bournemouth
4 - 3
Luton

Solanke (50'), Zabarnyi (62'), Semenyo (64', 83')
Smith (69')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Chong (9'), Ogbene (31'), Barkley (45+1')
Clark (30'), Ogbene (66')

The Match

Match Report

Bournemouth astonishingly fight back from three goals down to beat Luton Town 4-3 in the Premier League at the Vitality Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawLuton Town
57.33% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 21.57% (0.038 0.04) 21.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 58.25% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.1% (-0.172 -0.17)39.9% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.74% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)62.26% (0.185 0.19)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.27% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)13.73% (0.071 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.01% (-0.136 -0.14)41% (0.142 0.14)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)32.48% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (-0.11 -0.11)69.01% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 57.33%
    Luton Town 21.1%
    Draw 21.57%
BournemouthDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.79% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.54% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.82% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 57.33%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.57%
1-2 @ 5.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.02% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 21.1%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Luton

Bournemouth
60.7%
Draw
24.7%
Luton Town
14.6%
356
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Luton
3-2
Bournemouth
Kelly (30' og.), Campbell (42'), Naismith (90+6')
Marcondes (51'), Rogers (78')
Lerma (81'), Christie (89')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bournemouth
2-1
Luton
Billing (17'), Solanke (31')
Pearson (49'), Lowe (90+2')
Burke (64')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bournemouth
0-1
Luton

Billing (90+3')
Lerma (26')
Dewsbury-Hall (67')
Pearson (90+2'), Hylton (90+6')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Jan 4, 2020 5.31pm
Third Round
Bournemouth
4-0
Luton
Billing (8', 79'), Wilson (67'), Solanke (82')
Billing (41')

Jones (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!