Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 63.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 0-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 2-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.