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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Luton Town

Brentford
3 - 1
Luton

Maupay (49'), Mee (56'), Baptiste (81')
Norgaard (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brown (76')
Kaminski (38'), Chong (50')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford snap a two-game losing run in the Premier League with a 3-1 victory over Luton Town at the Gtech Community Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawLuton Town
45.27% (0.098999999999997 0.1) 25.59% (0.0040000000000013 0) 29.14% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.24% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)50.41% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.65% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)72.34% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.24% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)55.67% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (-0.113 -0.11)31.54% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)67.93% (0.133 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 45.27%
    Luton Town 29.14%
    Draw 25.58%
BrentfordDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 45.27%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 7.01% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.14%

How you voted: Brentford vs Luton

Brentford
80.8%
Draw
14.1%
Luton Town
5.1%
99
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 25
Brentford
1-0
Luton
Ghoddos (14')
Mbeumo (32'), Toney (81'), Toney (90+5')
Toney (90+5')

Bradley (39')
Lockyer (90+5')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Luton
0-3
Brentford

Hylton (54')
Henry (20'), Toney (29'), Forss (76')
Janelt (90')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Brentford
7-0
Luton
Mbeumo (6'), Watkins (29'), Jensen (33'), Dasilva (40', 45', 87' pen.), Benrahma (71' pen.)
Jul 28, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
2-1
Brentford
Wilkinson (40'), Zola (78')
Hofmann (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1311112681834
2Arsenal1374226141225
3Chelsea1374226141225
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Manchester CityMan City137242219323
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1362528141420
8Brentford136252623320
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd135441713419
10Fulham135441818019
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
12Aston Villa135441922-319
13Bournemouth135352019118
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton132561021-1111
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


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