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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Burnley logo

Brentford
3 - 0
Burnley

Wissa (25'), Mbeumo (62'), Ghoddos (87')
Ajer (46'), Onyeka (53'), Frank (61'), Jensen (69'), Janelt (85'), Ghoddos (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Berge (32'), Roberts (42'), Cullen (45+2')
Roberts (78')

The Match

Match Report

Two stunning second-half goals from Bryan Mbeumo and Saman Ghoddos help Brentford to a routine win over Burnley in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Chelsea
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawBurnley
31.55% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 26.32% (-0.029 -0.03) 42.13% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.12% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.59% (0.114 0.11)52.41% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.91% (0.098000000000003 0.1)74.09% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (0.035000000000011 0.04)30.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)67.13% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (0.085999999999999 0.09)24.62% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (0.119 0.12)59.13% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 31.55%
    Burnley 42.12%
    Draw 26.32%
BrentfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.55%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 10.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.12%

How you voted: Brentford vs Burnley

Brentford
72.8%
Draw
13.6%
Burnley
13.6%
103
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Brentford
2-0
Burnley
Toney (85', 90+4' pen.)
Toney (86')

Tarkowski (89')
Collins (90+2')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Burnley
3-1
Brentford
Wood (4'), Lowton (32'), Cornet (36')
McNeil (83')
Ghoddos (79')
Ghoddos (72')
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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