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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Brentford logo

Burnley
2 - 1
Brentford

Bruun Larsen (10' pen.), Datro Fofana (62')
Amdouni (81'), Taylor (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ajer (83')
Janelt (68'), Ajer (84'), Baptiste (90+13'), Toney (90+10')
Reguilon (8')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Jacob Bruun Larsen and David Datro Fofana help Burnley to a 2-1 victory over Brentford at Turf Moor.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Burnley
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBrentford
42.23% (0.356 0.36) 23.98% (0.13 0.13) 33.79% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 60.9% (-0.629 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.66% (-0.76 -0.76)41.34% (0.76 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.26% (-0.774 -0.77)63.73% (0.774 0.77)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (-0.16 -0.16)19.81% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)51.89% (0.258 0.26)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (-0.631 -0.63)24.04% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (-0.907 -0.91)58.31% (0.90799999999999 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 42.23%
    Brentford 33.79%
    Draw 23.98%
BurnleyDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.225 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 42.23%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.79%

How you voted: Burnley vs Brentford

Burnley
20.9%
Draw
21.8%
Brentford
57.3%
234
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Brentford
3-0
Burnley
Wissa (25'), Mbeumo (62'), Ghoddos (87')
Ajer (46'), Onyeka (53'), Frank (61'), Jensen (69'), Janelt (85'), Ghoddos (90+3')

Berge (32'), Roberts (42'), Cullen (45+2')
Roberts (78')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Brentford
2-0
Burnley
Toney (85', 90+4' pen.)
Toney (86')

Tarkowski (89')
Collins (90+2')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Burnley
3-1
Brentford
Wood (4'), Lowton (32'), Cornet (36')
McNeil (83')
Ghoddos (79')
Ghoddos (72')
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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