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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Brentford logo

Burnley
2 - 1
Brentford

Bruun Larsen (10' pen.), Datro Fofana (62')
Amdouni (81'), Taylor (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ajer (83')
Janelt (68'), Ajer (84'), Baptiste (90+13'), Toney (90+10')
Reguilon (8')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Jacob Bruun Larsen and David Datro Fofana help Burnley to a 2-1 victory over Brentford at Turf Moor.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Burnley
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBrentford
42.23% (0.356 0.36) 23.98% (0.13 0.13) 33.79% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 60.9% (-0.629 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.66% (-0.76 -0.76)41.34% (0.76 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.26% (-0.774 -0.77)63.73% (0.774 0.77)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (-0.16 -0.16)19.81% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)51.89% (0.258 0.26)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (-0.631 -0.63)24.04% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (-0.907 -0.91)58.31% (0.90799999999999 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 42.23%
    Brentford 33.79%
    Draw 23.98%
BurnleyDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.225 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 42.23%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.79%

How you voted: Burnley vs Brentford

Burnley
20.9%
Draw
21.8%
Brentford
57.3%
234
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Brentford
3-0
Burnley
Wissa (25'), Mbeumo (62'), Ghoddos (87')
Ajer (46'), Onyeka (53'), Frank (61'), Jensen (69'), Janelt (85'), Ghoddos (90+3')

Berge (32'), Roberts (42'), Cullen (45+2')
Roberts (78')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Brentford
2-0
Burnley
Toney (85', 90+4' pen.)
Toney (86')

Tarkowski (89')
Collins (90+2')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Burnley
3-1
Brentford
Wood (4'), Lowton (32'), Cornet (36')
McNeil (83')
Ghoddos (79')
Ghoddos (72')
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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