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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Brentford logo

Burnley
2 - 1
Brentford

Bruun Larsen (10' pen.), Datro Fofana (62')
Amdouni (81'), Taylor (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ajer (83')
Janelt (68'), Ajer (84'), Baptiste (90+13'), Toney (90+10')
Reguilon (8')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Jacob Bruun Larsen and David Datro Fofana help Burnley to a 2-1 victory over Brentford at Turf Moor.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Burnley
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBrentford
42.23% (0.356 0.36) 23.98% (0.13 0.13) 33.79% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 60.9% (-0.629 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.66% (-0.76 -0.76)41.34% (0.76 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.26% (-0.774 -0.77)63.73% (0.774 0.77)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (-0.16 -0.16)19.81% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)51.89% (0.258 0.26)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (-0.631 -0.63)24.04% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (-0.907 -0.91)58.31% (0.90799999999999 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 42.23%
    Brentford 33.79%
    Draw 23.98%
BurnleyDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.225 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 42.23%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.79%

How you voted: Burnley vs Brentford

Burnley
20.9%
Draw
21.8%
Brentford
57.3%
234
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Brentford
3-0
Burnley
Wissa (25'), Mbeumo (62'), Ghoddos (87')
Ajer (46'), Onyeka (53'), Frank (61'), Jensen (69'), Janelt (85'), Ghoddos (90+3')

Berge (32'), Roberts (42'), Cullen (45+2')
Roberts (78')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Brentford
2-0
Burnley
Toney (85', 90+4' pen.)
Toney (86')

Tarkowski (89')
Collins (90+2')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Burnley
3-1
Brentford
Wood (4'), Lowton (32'), Cornet (36')
McNeil (83')
Ghoddos (79')
Ghoddos (72')
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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