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Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
Leicester logo

Fulham
5 - 3
Leicester

Willian (10', 70'), Vinicius (18'), Cairney (44', 51')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Barnes (59', 89'), Maddison (81' pen.)
Barnes (24'), Maddison (58'), Soumare (70')

The Match

Match Report

Leicester City's Premier League survival hopes suffer possibly their most damaging blow yet in a chaotic 5-3 defeat to mid-table Fulham at Craven Cottage.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Fulham
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Everton
Monday, May 1 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawLeicester City
38.33% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 24.94%36.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)45.4% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)23.44% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55% (0.012999999999998 0.01)57.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)58.67% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 38.33%
    Leicester City 36.72%
    Draw 24.93%
FulhamDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.0029999999999983 0)
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 5.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.33%
1-1 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 36.72%

How you voted: Fulham vs Leicester

Fulham
45.8%
Draw
25.4%
Leicester City
28.9%
142
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 3, 2021 6pm
gameweek 22
Fulham
0-2
Leicester

Reed (24'), Aina (59'), Cavaleiro (89')
Iheanacho (17'), Justin (44')
Mendy (72')
Nov 30, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 10
Leicester
1-2
Fulham
Barnes (86')
Lookman (30'), Cavaleiro (38' pen.)
Reed (18'), Adarabioyo (89')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
gameweek 30
Leicester
3-1
Fulham
Tielemans (21'), Vardy (78', 86')
Ayite (51')
Babel (55'), Bryan (60')
Dec 5, 2018 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Fulham
1-1
Leicester
Kamara (42')
Maddison (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Everton236892328-526
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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