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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
Luton Town

Fulham
1 - 0
Luton

Vinicius (65')
Castagne (40'), Diop (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Chong (27'), Kaminski (37')

The Match

Match Report

Carlos Vinicius comes off the bench to score the only goal in Fulham's Premier League clash with Luton Town at Craven Cottage.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 5-1 Fulham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-2 West Ham
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fulham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fulham.

Result
FulhamDrawLuton Town
37.28% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 26.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 35.88% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.27% (0.011000000000003 0.01)53.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.49%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.012 0.01)28.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 37.27%
    Luton Town 35.88%
    Draw 26.83%
FulhamDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 37.27%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.88%

How you voted: Fulham vs Luton

Fulham
77.3%
Draw
15.2%
Luton Town
7.6%
132
Head to Head
May 2, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 45
Fulham
7-0
Luton
Cairney (29'), Tete (39'), Carvalho (54'), Mitrovic (62', 90+2'), Reid (65'), Michael Seri (79')
Wilson (83'), Mitrovic (90+3')

Hylton (11'), Lockyer (27'), Snodgrass (35'), Lansbury (37'), Potts (51'), Muskwe (85')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Luton
1-1
Fulham
Adebayo (62')
Campbell (42')
Mitrovic (19')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Luton
3-3
Fulham
LuaLua (5'), Collins (28'), Cornick (84')
Reid (9', 94'), Mitrovic (77')
Oct 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Fulham
3-2
Luton
Mitrovic (16', 53', 67')
Cairney (73')
Potts (60'), LuaLua (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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